Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 4.117834 4.911963 5.796567 6.851877 8.073262 9.438999 11.078225
2025-07-20 3.072353 4.118062 5.402645 7.083518 9.210106 11.794958 15.156506
2025-07-27 2.473433 3.651764 5.219825 7.429085 10.425911 14.309156 19.673482
2025-08-03 1.960423 3.155362 4.861830 7.425140 11.114664 16.158424 23.481624
2025-08-10 1.524713 2.660915 4.393186 7.151726 11.339259 17.341452 26.443775
2025-08-17 1.208027 2.274337 4.001686 6.903062 11.523566 18.431118 29.314956
2025-08-24 1.011433 2.040056 3.799766 6.898728 12.045443 20.025463 33.018793
2025-08-31 0.859339 1.850361 3.634885 6.918626 12.586312 21.670080 36.904500
2025-09-07 0.722753 1.660018 3.434509 6.841417 12.942305 23.032217 40.431272
2025-09-14 0.582424 1.431435 3.124785 6.520809 12.834113 23.610652 42.717489
2025-09-21 0.499209 1.304056 2.985668 6.490388 13.222193 25.031916 46.477000
2025-09-28 0.429174 1.190375 2.854448 6.453662 13.586237 26.427969 50.278083
2025-10-05 0.402947 1.176198 2.932521 6.851048 14.820322 29.478741 57.210142
2025-10-12 0.364403 1.123622 2.919744 7.060540 15.713592 31.988047 63.370913
2025-10-19 0.338865 1.098993 2.965445 7.398034 16.889753 35.100333 70.818841
2025-10-26 0.295416 1.015501 2.860466 7.391927 17.365469 36.930829 76.039253
2025-11-02 0.244444 0.897073 2.650261 7.118947 17.253907 37.621790 79.174177
2025-11-09 0.203019 0.795401 2.463087 6.871098 17.164150 38.337222 82.386884
2025-11-16 0.177971 0.738585 2.382646 6.866722 17.602222 40.127785 87.775699
2025-11-23 0.157136 0.689983 2.315883 6.886521 18.093845 42.057206 93.549561
2025-11-30 0.135901 0.633552 2.216720 6.809623 18.353327 43.519545 98.474235
2025-12-07 0.110863 0.554407 2.035411 6.490332 18.007389 43.674027 100.749072
2025-12-14 0.096967 0.514300 1.964865 6.460036 18.351536 45.329788 106.208060